学位论文 > 优秀研究生学位论文题录展示
亚太地区集装箱运输分析研究
作 者: 艾穆杰德
导 师: 田征
学 校: 大连海事大学
专 业: 交通运输规划与管理
关键词: 亚太地区 集装箱 预测 吞吐量 运价
分类号: U169
类 型: 硕士论文
年 份: 2000年
下 载: 121次
引 用: 0次
阅 读: 论文下载
内容摘要
考虑到全球集装箱运输市场的竞争性,本论文选择世界上最具影响力的亚太地区的集装箱运输市场进行研究,本文的重点是研究这一地区的集装箱运输的现状及其未来的发展。 本论文从分析世界经济贸易的发展趋势入手,并对世界集装箱海上贸易进行了深入的调查研究,分析了亚太地区各主要国家集装箱运输的基本情况,重点预测了未来十年内,该地区各主要国家集装箱吞吐量。本文还对2000年3月-2001年2月中国集装箱出口的运费率进行了预测,同时对于一些政策性因素也给予了考虑。 亚太地区集装箱运输市场的发展将呈现出一定的不确定性,因此,在本论文的最后,针对亚太地区集装箱运输的发展提出了一些具体策略,以使该地区集装箱运输健康有序地发展。
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全文目录
Dedication 3-4 Acknowledgements 4-6 英文摘要 6-7 Table of content 7-10 CHAPTER ONE: THE TREND OF THE WORLD ECONOMICS 10-21 1.1 Introduction 11 1.2 World Economics Outlook 11-14 1.3 Trade Development 14-18 1.3.1 Trends in Trade 14-15 1.3.2 Asian Economics Trend Development 15-18 1.4 The History of the Influence of Asian Trade on Containerization 18-21 CHAPTER TWO: THE PRESENT SCALES OF THE CONTAINERIZATION TRADE AND FLEET 21-35 2.1 The Development of Containerization 22-31 2.1.1 Containerization 22-23 2.1.2 The Containerization Recent Trend 23-25 2.1.3 Increase in it's Size 25-27 2.1.4 Vessel Speed 27-28 2.1.5 Alliances 28-30 2.1.6 Container Freight Rates 30-31 2.2 Analysis of the World Top 20 Container Ports 31-33 2.3 Main Players in World Containerization 33-35 CHAPTER THREE: MAJOR INFLUENTIAL ASIAN-PACIFIC MAIN PLAYERS ON CONTAINERIZATION 35-53 3.1 P.R of China 36-41 3.1.1 Geographical Position 36 3.1.2 Economic Overview 36-37 3.1.3 Chinese Containerization Overview and Its Development 37-41 3.2 South Korea 41-44 3.2.1 Geographical Position 41 3.2.2 Economic Overview 41-42 3.2.3 Korean Containerization Overview and Its Development 42-44 3.3 Japan 44-46 3.3.1 Geographical Position 44 3.3.2 Economic Overview 44-45 3.3.3 Japanese Containerization Overview and Its Development 45-46 3.4 Taipei Province of China 46-49 3.4.1 Geographical Position 46-47 3.4.2 Economic Overview 47-48 3.4.3 Chinese Taipei Containerization Overview and Its Development 48-49 3.5 Singapore 49-51 3.5.1 Geographical Position 49-50 3.5.2 Economic Overview 50-51 3.5.3 Singapore's Containerization Overview and Its Development 51 3.6 Special Administrative Region (Hong Kong) 51-53 3.6.1 Geographical Position 51 3.6.2 Economic Overview 51 3.6.3 Containerization overview and Its Development 51-53 CHAPTER FOUR: FORECASTING 53-86 4.1 The Necessity for Forecasting 54-55 4.2 The Method of Forecasting 55-58 4.3 The Statistical Data Base of Throughput 58-59 4.4 Forecast and Analysis of Throughput 59-72 4.4.1 China 59-61 4.4.1.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Chinese Throughput 60-61 4.4.2 Japan 61-63 4.4.2.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Japanese Throughput 62-63 4.4.3 South Korea 63-65 4.4.3.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted GroWth in Korean Throughput 64-65 4.4.4 Chinese Taipei 65-67 4.4.4.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for forecasted Growth in Chinese Taipei's Throughput 66-67 4.4.5 Special Administrative Region (Hong Kong) 67-70 4.4.5.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Hong Kong Throughput 69-70 4.4.6 Singapore 70-72 4.4.6.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Singapore's Throughput 71-72 4.5 The Statistic Data Base of the Chinese Export Freight Rate 72-74 4.5.1 The Chinese Container Export Freight Rate 72-74 4.6 Result and Analysis for Chinese Export Freight Rate 74-86 4.6.1 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Japan 74-76 4.6.1.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Japan 75-76 4.6.2 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to South Korea 76-78 4.6.2.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to South Korea 78 4.6.3 The Chinese Container Export Freight Rate to West America 78-81 4.6.3.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to West America 80-81 4.6.4 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to East America 81-83 4.6.4.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to East America 82-83 4.6.5 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Australia and New Zealand 83-86 4.6.5.1 Analysis of and assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Aus-new z 84-86 CHAPTER FIVE: ANALYSIS OF THE FORECASTING RESULTS OF ASIAN PACIFIC CONTAINER THROUGHPUT AND THE CHINESE EXPORT CONTAINER FREIGHT RATE 86-94 5.1 Summary for Forecasting Result 87-90 5.1.1 Strategies to Achieving Results 87-90 5.2 The Future Prospects of Chinese Export Container Freight Rate 90-94 5.2.1 Summary of Forecasting Results 90-92 5.2.2 Strategies to Combat the Negative Achievement: How to solve the.Problem of Chinese Export Container Freight Rate 92-94 5.2.2.1 Changes in Shipping Operations and Corporate Shipping Strategies 92-93 5.2.2.2 Mainline/Feeder Services 93-94 CHAPTER SIX: SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION 94-98 1.Summary 95 2.Recommendations 95-96 3.Conclusion 96-98 References 98-99 Bibliography and Web sites 99-100
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