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亚太地区集装箱运输分析研究

作 者: 艾穆杰德
导 师: 田征
学 校: 大连海事大学
专 业: 交通运输规划与管理
关键词: 亚太地区 集装箱 预测 吞吐量 运价
分类号: U169
类 型: 硕士论文
年 份: 2000年
下 载: 121次
引 用: 0次
阅 读: 论文下载
 

内容摘要


考虑到全球集装箱运输市场的竞争性,本论文选择世界上最具影响力的亚太地区的集装箱运输市场进行研究,本文的重点是研究这一地区的集装箱运输的现状及其未来的发展。 本论文从分析世界经济贸易的发展趋势入手,并对世界集装箱海上贸易进行了深入的调查研究,分析了亚太地区各主要国家集装箱运输的基本情况,重点预测了未来十年内,该地区各主要国家集装箱吞吐量。本文还对2000年3月-2001年2月中国集装箱出口的运费率进行了预测,同时对于一些政策性因素也给予了考虑。 亚太地区集装箱运输市场的发展将呈现出一定的不确定性,因此,在本论文的最后,针对亚太地区集装箱运输的发展提出了一些具体策略,以使该地区集装箱运输健康有序地发展。

全文目录


Dedication  3-4
Acknowledgements  4-6
英文摘要  6-7
Table of content  7-10
CHAPTER ONE: THE TREND OF THE WORLD ECONOMICS  10-21
  1.1 Introduction  11
  1.2 World Economics Outlook  11-14
  1.3 Trade Development  14-18
    1.3.1 Trends in Trade  14-15
    1.3.2 Asian Economics Trend Development  15-18
  1.4 The History of the Influence of Asian Trade on Containerization  18-21
CHAPTER TWO: THE PRESENT SCALES OF THE CONTAINERIZATION TRADE AND FLEET  21-35
  2.1 The Development of Containerization  22-31
    2.1.1 Containerization  22-23
    2.1.2 The Containerization Recent Trend  23-25
    2.1.3 Increase in it's Size  25-27
    2.1.4 Vessel Speed  27-28
    2.1.5 Alliances  28-30
    2.1.6 Container Freight Rates  30-31
  2.2 Analysis of the World Top 20 Container Ports  31-33
  2.3 Main Players in World Containerization  33-35
CHAPTER THREE: MAJOR INFLUENTIAL ASIAN-PACIFIC MAIN PLAYERS ON CONTAINERIZATION  35-53
  3.1 P.R of China  36-41
    3.1.1 Geographical Position  36
    3.1.2 Economic Overview  36-37
    3.1.3 Chinese Containerization Overview and Its Development  37-41
  3.2 South Korea  41-44
    3.2.1 Geographical Position  41
    3.2.2 Economic Overview  41-42
    3.2.3 Korean Containerization Overview and Its Development  42-44
  3.3 Japan  44-46
    3.3.1 Geographical Position  44
    3.3.2 Economic Overview  44-45
    3.3.3 Japanese Containerization Overview and Its Development  45-46
  3.4 Taipei Province of China  46-49
    3.4.1 Geographical Position  46-47
    3.4.2 Economic Overview  47-48
    3.4.3 Chinese Taipei Containerization Overview and Its Development  48-49
  3.5 Singapore  49-51
    3.5.1 Geographical Position  49-50
    3.5.2 Economic Overview  50-51
    3.5.3 Singapore's Containerization Overview and Its Development  51
  3.6 Special Administrative Region (Hong Kong)  51-53
    3.6.1 Geographical Position  51
    3.6.2 Economic Overview  51
    3.6.3 Containerization overview and Its Development  51-53
CHAPTER FOUR: FORECASTING  53-86
  4.1 The Necessity for Forecasting  54-55
  4.2 The Method of Forecasting  55-58
  4.3 The Statistical Data Base of Throughput  58-59
  4.4 Forecast and Analysis of Throughput  59-72
    4.4.1 China  59-61
      4.4.1.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Chinese Throughput  60-61
    4.4.2 Japan  61-63
      4.4.2.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Japanese Throughput  62-63
    4.4.3 South Korea  63-65
      4.4.3.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted GroWth in Korean Throughput  64-65
    4.4.4 Chinese Taipei  65-67
      4.4.4.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for forecasted Growth in Chinese Taipei's Throughput  66-67
    4.4.5 Special Administrative Region (Hong Kong)  67-70
      4.4.5.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Hong Kong Throughput  69-70
    4.4.6 Singapore  70-72
      4.4.6.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Growth in Singapore's Throughput  71-72
  4.5 The Statistic Data Base of the Chinese Export Freight Rate  72-74
    4.5.1 The Chinese Container Export Freight Rate  72-74
  4.6 Result and Analysis for Chinese Export Freight Rate  74-86
    4.6.1 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Japan  74-76
      4.6.1.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Japan  75-76
    4.6.2 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to South Korea  76-78
      4.6.2.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to South Korea  78
    4.6.3 The Chinese Container Export Freight Rate to West America  78-81
      4.6.3.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to West America  80-81
    4.6.4 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to East America  81-83
      4.6.4.1 Analysis of and Assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to East America  82-83
    4.6.5 The Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Australia and New Zealand  83-86
      4.6.5.1 Analysis of and assumptions for Forecasted Chinese Export Container Freight Rate to Aus-new z  84-86
CHAPTER FIVE: ANALYSIS OF THE FORECASTING RESULTS OF ASIAN PACIFIC CONTAINER THROUGHPUT AND THE CHINESE EXPORT CONTAINER FREIGHT RATE  86-94
  5.1 Summary for Forecasting Result  87-90
    5.1.1 Strategies to Achieving Results  87-90
  5.2 The Future Prospects of Chinese Export Container Freight Rate  90-94
    5.2.1 Summary of Forecasting Results  90-92
    5.2.2 Strategies to Combat the Negative Achievement: How to solve the.Problem of Chinese Export Container Freight Rate  92-94
      5.2.2.1 Changes in Shipping Operations and Corporate Shipping Strategies  92-93
      5.2.2.2 Mainline/Feeder Services  93-94
CHAPTER SIX: SUMMARY, RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION  94-98
  1.Summary  95
  2.Recommendations  95-96
  3.Conclusion  96-98
References  98-99
Bibliography and Web sites  99-100

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